← [TCG] League PTM Online Grand Archive Regional NA 2/15/2026
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at [TCG] League PTM Online Grand Archive Regional NA 2/15/2026
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.0% | -6.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.1% | +10.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.7 |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -4.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.2% | -6.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Water Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +3.0 |
| Wind Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 51 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devastating Blow | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Feu Awakening | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Flamme Sorcel | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rictus Tiding | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Overlapping Visages | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gentle Respite | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Inert Sword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beguiling Coup | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Abnegation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Siphoning Fractal | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grande Aiguille | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Leporine Masque | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Butler's Augury | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ombreux Chevalier | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Infernal Vessel | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Profane Bindings | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Impact Hammer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |