← Atelier Tabletop Brewspace Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Atelier Tabletop Brewspace Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
2
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
8-2-2
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.8%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1496
· median 1496
· range 1362–1630
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1260
Q3 1446
1668
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 36.5% | -10.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Beast | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Wind Diana | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
