← Atelier Tabletop Brewspace Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at Atelier Tabletop Brewspace Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
2
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-5-3
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.1%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
46.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1247
· median 1247
· range 1196–1297
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1260
Q3 1446
1668
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.4% | -1.6 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +1.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.1% | +4.0 |
| Beast | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Water Neos | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Wind Diana | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
