Regionals @ The Banish Zone 2/28

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	7	9.7%	20-20-3	50.0%	43.9%	50.6%	48.0%	1336	—
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	5	6.9%	16-16-3	50.0%	52.7%	48.8%	50.0%	1283	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	6.9%	9-14-1	39.6%	43.4%	48.1%	49.4%	1298	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	5	6.9%	13-15-4	46.9%	48.6%	49.6%	50.1%	1299	—
5		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	4	5.6%	17-10-1	62.5%	58.5%	55.6%	54.3%	1457	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	4	5.6%	18-10-0	64.3%	53.2%	54.0%	51.0%	1450	↑ top
7		Water Fractal	Tier 1	4	5.6%	15-10-1	59.6%	57.5%	49.2%	49.8%	1354	—
8		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	3	4.2%	13-8-0	61.9%	55.8%	51.0%	50.4%	1466	↑ top
9		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	3	4.2%	9-12-0	42.9%	50.8%	46.6%	49.4%	1278	—
10		Water Genbu	Tier 1	3	4.2%	11-7-3	59.5%	56.9%	52.0%	53.1%	1369	—
11		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	4.2%	1-9-2	16.7%	29.5%	41.6%	43.3%	1264	↓ low
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	2.8%	7-7-0	50.0%	58.4%	50.3%	52.0%	1295	—
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.8%	6-8-0	42.9%	48.0%	47.4%	49.7%	1280	—
14		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	2.8%	5-9-0	35.7%	45.1%	50.8%	51.7%	1233	↓ low
15		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.8%	3-5-2	40.0%	49.4%	50.6%	52.3%	1197	↓ low
16		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	2	2.8%	5-7-1	42.3%	38.7%	48.1%	46.5%	1352	—
17		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	2.8%	7-6-1	53.6%	54.7%	53.1%	53.5%	1359	—
18		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	1.4%	5-2-0	71.4%	66.3%	53.3%	55.0%	1262	↓ low
19		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	1.4%	5-2-0	71.4%	57.8%	56.2%	54.0%	1422	↑ top
20		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	34.9%	48.6%	46.8%	1301	—
21		Fire Genbu	Tier 3	1	1.4%	3-3-1	50.0%	60.5%	47.4%	51.2%	1175	↓ low
22		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-3-0	57.1%	50.3%	51.1%	49.5%	1364	—
23		Fire Tera Mage	Tier 3	1	1.4%	1-3-0	25.0%	50.9%	41.3%	48.2%	1159	↓ low
24		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-3-0	57.1%	58.9%	49.7%	51.6%	1311	—
25		Wind Alice	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-2-1	64.3%	48.8%	51.1%	48.1%	1407	↑ top
26		Wind Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-5-0	28.6%	45.2%	44.9%	48.1%	1192	↓ low
27		Wind Byakko	Tier 3	1	1.4%	3-3-1	50.0%	41.5%	45.8%	44.4%	1364	—
28		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.4%	2-5-0	28.6%	34.6%	48.1%	46.3%	1242	↓ low
29		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-3-0	57.1%	47.4%	53.5%	50.0%	1311	—
30		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.4%	2-4-1	35.7%	46.7%	48.7%	49.8%	1250	↓ low
31		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-3-0	40.0%	45.3%	47.3%	48.1%	1511	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 7 decks · 9.7%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 5 decks · 6.9%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 6.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Oblation 4 decks · 5.6%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 5.6%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 3 decks · 4.2%
• Horse and Taxes 3 decks · 4.2%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 4.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 2.8%
• Water Crux Assassin 2 decks · 2.8%
• Water Tera Mage 2 decks · 2.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Genbu 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Alice 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.4%