← Regionals @ The Banish Zone 2/28
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Regionals @ The Banish Zone 2/28
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.5% | +5.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.2% | +3.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.0% | -8.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Fire Genbu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.0 |
| Wind Alice | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 51 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reconnaissance Scout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Legion's Wingspan | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Flash Grenade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ranger Boots | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Aether Dilettante | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Imperial Rifleman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aether's Embrace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fellowship's Gale | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Razorgale Calling | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Second Wind | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Teasing Aerocharge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Huang Zhong, Unerring Aim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Whisperwind Compass | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Hunter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Rangefinder | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Skirting Step | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeker's Aetherwing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |