Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Genbu	Tier 2	6	15.4%	11-16-0	40.7%	38.8%	45.7%	44.0%	1265	—
2		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	4	10.3%	8-8-1	50.0%	54.8%	52.3%	53.5%	1269	—
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	10.3%	4-10-4	33.3%	40.0%	45.5%	47.4%	1192	↓ low
4		Water Fractal	Tier 1	3	7.7%	10-6-2	61.1%	62.1%	57.2%	58.0%	1201	↓ low
5		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	5.1%	2-6-0	25.0%	40.0%	43.1%	45.8%	1192	↓ low
6		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	5.1%	5-5-0	50.0%	51.4%	52.8%	52.9%	1235	—
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	5.1%	9-1-2	83.3%	62.1%	58.6%	53.8%	1380	↑ top
8		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	63.9%	60.0%	61.2%	1237	—
9		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.6%	5-1-0	83.3%	60.9%	57.8%	54.1%	1426	↑ top
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	63.6%	56.7%	57.4%	1239	—
11		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.8%	51.4%	53.8%	1169	↓ low
12		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	56.5%	55.4%	55.7%	1170	↓ low
13		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.8%	51.4%	53.4%	1179	↓ low
14		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	50.6%	54.5%	50.9%	1329	↑ top
15		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	29.3%	38.1%	37.8%	1125	↓ low
16		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	54.3%	56.9%	56.0%	1168	↓ low
17		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	64.7%	59.5%	59.0%	1358	↑ top
18		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-3-1	30.0%	41.3%	45.7%	46.1%	1304	↑ top
19		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	49.8%	50.0%	47.3%	1352	↑ top
20		Water Wind Vanitas	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.4%	43.3%	45.1%	1303	↑ top
21		Wind Cats	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	44.2%	41.8%	46.8%	1159	↓ low
22		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-2-1	16.7%	35.5%	41.1%	41.2%	1210	↓ low
23		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	35.9%	43.1%	40.3%	1357	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Genbu 6 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 10.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 10.3%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 5.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.6%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Cats 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.6%