Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Game Nut Regional
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
45.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268
· median 1268
· range 1268–1268
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1077
Q1 1189
Q3 1368
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 12.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.2% | -5.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.0% | -8.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
