Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Game Nut Regional
decks
5
(12.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28
14-9-5
overall winrate
58.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.5%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
51.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1325
· median 1297
· range 1104–1689
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1077
Q1 1189
Q3 1368
1689
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
40% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 12.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 58.1% | +5.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Wind Slimes | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Chess | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.3 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
