Game Nut Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	5	12.2%	15-11-1	57.4%	49.1%	51.2%	49.3%	1352	↑ top
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	5	12.2%	14-9-5	58.9%	55.5%	51.5%	51.1%	1325	—
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	4	9.8%	11-11-1	50.0%	53.7%	49.3%	51.1%	1254	—
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	7.3%	12-5-2	68.4%	57.1%	55.8%	52.9%	1392	↑ top
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	4.9%	5-6-0	45.5%	49.0%	48.6%	49.1%	1203	↓ low
6		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	4.9%	7-0-3	85.0%	65.5%	58.1%	55.7%	1552	↑ top
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	2	4.9%	4-4-0	50.0%	56.0%	45.4%	48.5%	1135	↓ low
8		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	4.9%	1-7-1	16.7%	31.2%	40.6%	42.2%	1168	↓ low
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	4.9%	4-7-1	37.5%	43.1%	47.8%	48.8%	1276	—
10		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	2	4.9%	3-5-0	37.5%	39.1%	46.8%	45.8%	1239	—
11		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-1-1	70.0%	67.1%	54.6%	58.1%	1396	↑ top
12		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	38.7%	47.4%	47.2%	1239	—
13		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	48.3%	45.9%	47.8%	1268	—
14		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.4%	46.0%	48.1%	1275	—
15		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.0%	50.6%	52.4%	1198	↓ low
16		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.2%	44.0%	46.3%	1225	↓ low
17		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-2-0	66.7%	65.7%	51.1%	54.1%	1210	↓ low
18		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	58.2%	48.2%	52.3%	1231	—
19		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	44.1%	44.3%	45.8%	1200	↓ low
20		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-6-0	0.0%	21.6%	40.0%	40.7%	1126	↓ low
21		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.5%	52.5%	52.5%	1145	↓ low
22		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-1	25.0%	39.4%	43.9%	45.6%	1146	↓ low
23		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-2-0	66.7%	47.0%	56.3%	51.8%	1417	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 5 decks · 12.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 5 decks · 12.2%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 9.8%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 7.3%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 4.9%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 4.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 4.9%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 4.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 4.9%
• Wind Slimes 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.4%