← Regional Event - The Banish Zone
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Regional Event - The Banish Zone
decks
3
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
11-7-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.4%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
53.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1296
· median 1329
· range 1196–1364
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1128
Q3 1315
1656
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 13.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.9% | +6.7 |
| Wind Allies | 11.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.0% | +12.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.9% | -2.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.0% | +6.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.7% | -9.9 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
