← Regional Event - The Banish Zone

Wind Umbra DianaTier 2

at Regional Event - The Banish Zone

decks
2 (3.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11 4-3-4
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.4% avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
51.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1261 · median 1261 · range 1201–1321 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
957 Q1 1128 Q3 1315 1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Allies 13.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.1% +9.8
Fire Umbra Ranger 11.8% 0
Wind Allies 11.8% 0
Fire Aggro 9.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.2% -20.5
Fire Erupting 9.8% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 38.0% -11.5
Fire Crux Mage 7.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.0% -3.3
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.3% +9.9
Fire Arcane 3.9% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.9% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.0% -4.8
Fire Neos 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.8% +11.0
Fire Tera Silvie 2.0% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.0% 0
Water Neos 2.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.5% -5.7
Water Tera Silvie 2.0% 0
Water Umbra Diana 2.0% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 2.0% 0
Wind Arcane 2.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.6% -19.8
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.0% 0
Wind Neos 2.0% 0
Wind Silvie 2.0% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Umbra Diana decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Perse, Relentless Raptor +1.00 1 0 0
Evasive Maneuvers -1.00 0 1 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +1.00 1 0 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Trained Sharpshooter +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Enhance Hearing -1.00 0 1 0
Lurking Assailant +1.00 1 0 0
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Rifleman +1.00 1 0 0
Umbral Tithe -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Cutter -1.00 0 1 0
Winbless Arbalest +1.00 1 0 0
Windrider Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Demon's Aim -1.00 0 1 0
Battlefield Spotter +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Seeking Shot +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Veiled Dash +1.00 1 0 0
Backstep -1.00 0 1 0
Bulwark Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Bauble of Abundance -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr's Edge -1.00 0 1 0
Rally the Peasants -1.00 0 1 0
Prototype Pistol +1.00 1 0 0
Rapid Reload -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/458/archetypes/Wind Umbra Diana