← Wilczek - Regional Championships - PTM - 28/02/2026
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Wilczek - Regional Championships - PTM - 28/02/2026
decks
1
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1094
· median 1094
· range 1094–1094
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1148
Q3 1349
1510
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
