Wilczek - Regional Championships - PTM - 28/02/2026

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	4	10.8%	11-10-0	52.4%	55.0%	51.5%	52.7%	1275	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	8.1%	9-7-2	55.6%	48.6%	51.4%	49.1%	1287	—
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	8.1%	8-6-1	56.7%	46.9%	49.7%	47.8%	1354	↑ top
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	5.4%	6-5-1	54.2%	47.6%	49.4%	47.7%	1300	↑ top
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	5.4%	5-5-2	50.0%	43.6%	49.8%	47.8%	1330	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	5.4%	2-5-3	35.0%	43.6%	47.4%	48.7%	1127	↓ low
7		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	5.4%	6-6-0	50.0%	52.8%	50.2%	51.5%	1285	—
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	5.4%	5-4-3	54.2%	50.9%	49.8%	49.9%	1252	—
9		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	2	5.4%	4-6-2	41.7%	47.0%	51.1%	51.5%	1122	↓ low
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	5.4%	4-3-5	54.2%	56.8%	50.8%	52.2%	1184	↓ low
11		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.7%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.4%	50.0%	51.1%	1283	—
12		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.7%	3-3-0	50.0%	55.9%	52.2%	54.0%	1152	↓ low
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-2-1	50.0%	56.4%	50.0%	52.4%	1218	—
14		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.7%	3-2-1	58.3%	47.6%	50.8%	48.6%	1350	↑ top
15		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.1%	46.0%	49.3%	1094	↓ low
16		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	2.7%	0-5-0	0.0%	30.2%	40.0%	42.5%	983	↓ low
17		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.7%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.6%	48.3%	50.2%	1254	—
18		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-3-0	40.0%	41.1%	42.9%	42.0%	1262	—
19		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.7%	1-3-2	33.3%	44.6%	45.7%	48.0%	1118	↓ low
20		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.7%	5-0-1	91.7%	69.7%	59.5%	57.4%	1349	↑ top
21		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.7%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.0%	48.0%	51.3%	1096	↓ low
22		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.7%	3-3-0	50.0%	50.7%	48.3%	49.0%	1182	↓ low
23		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.7%	4-2-0	66.7%	54.5%	55.2%	52.9%	1385	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 10.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 8.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 8.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 5.4%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.4%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 5.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 5.4%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 5.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.7%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 2.7%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.7%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.7%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.7%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.7%