← Wilczek - Regional Championships - PTM - 28/02/2026
Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Wilczek - Regional Championships - PTM - 28/02/2026
decks
2
(5.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-4-3
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
49.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1252
· median 1252
· range 1148–1356
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1148
Q3 1349
1510
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.4% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -3.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.4% | +9.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Water Genbu | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
