FTG Grand Archive Regional Event

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	8	20.5%	16-19-2	45.9%	46.9%	49.5%	49.4%	1251	—
2		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	4	10.3%	11-8-1	57.5%	60.3%	49.5%	52.0%	1224	—
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	10.3%	11-11-2	50.0%	47.3%	49.1%	47.6%	1286	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 2	4	10.3%	6-11-0	35.3%	41.6%	45.5%	46.9%	1233	—
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	7.7%	10-6-1	61.8%	61.9%	50.2%	50.9%	1319	↑ top
6		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	3	7.7%	12-4-0	75.0%	64.2%	57.7%	55.6%	1371	↑ top
7		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	2	5.1%	6-6-0	50.0%	49.8%	51.1%	50.6%	1273	—
8		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	2	5.1%	8-2-0	80.0%	66.4%	60.0%	57.0%	1400	↑ top
9		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.4%	46.7%	46.0%	1201	↓ low
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	44.7%	45.2%	45.7%	1260	—
11		Fire Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	45.7%	49.5%	50.4%	1171	↓ low
12		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.6%	5-1-0	83.3%	66.4%	57.8%	56.6%	1163	↓ low
13		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-4-1	10.0%	32.5%	44.0%	45.3%	1153	↓ low
14		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	46.2%	48.3%	48.7%	1101	↓ low
15		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	46.4%	53.0%	48.5%	1656	↑ top
16		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	41.2%	48.6%	49.0%	1074	↓ low
17		Wind Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-6-0	14.3%	32.7%	41.5%	43.9%	1114	↓ low
18		Wind Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.5%	52.2%	52.7%	1311	—
19		Wind Triskit	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	41.2%	48.6%	49.0%	1074	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Umbra Ranger 8 decks · 20.5%
• Fire Erupting 4 decks · 10.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 10.3%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 10.3%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 2 decks · 5.1%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Tonoris 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Triskit 1 deck · 2.6%