← FTG Grand Archive Regional Event
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at FTG Grand Archive Regional Event
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.4%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1656
· median 1656
· range 1656–1656
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1168
Q3 1345
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 20.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
