← FTG Grand Archive Regional Event
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at FTG Grand Archive Regional Event
decks
4
(10.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
11-11-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.3%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
49.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1286
· median 1261
· range 1153–1468
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1168
Q3 1345
1656
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 20.5% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -1.9 |
| Fire Erupting | 10.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -4.1 |
| Wind Allies | 10.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.4% | +4.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 37.3% | -9.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.7 |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.7 |
| Wind Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
