← FTG Grand Archive Regional Event
Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at FTG Grand Archive Regional Event
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-6-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1273
· median 1273
· range 1218–1329
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1168
Q3 1345
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 20.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.5% | -5.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 10.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% | +16.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Allies | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +11.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Wind Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Wind Triskit | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
