Card Merchant Wellington - RDO Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	9.4%	6-9-2	41.2%	39.5%	47.3%	46.5%	1333	—
2		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	3	9.4%	12-6-0	66.7%	50.2%	52.5%	48.9%	1463	↑ top
3		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-5-2	40.0%	41.9%	47.1%	47.3%	1236	—
4		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	6.2%	8-1-1	85.0%	63.8%	58.0%	55.4%	1533	↑ top
5		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	6.2%	6-4-0	60.0%	67.1%	54.3%	57.4%	1149	↓ low
6		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	6.2%	5-7-0	41.7%	46.1%	46.7%	48.3%	1249	—
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	6.2%	5-7-0	41.7%	46.3%	47.8%	48.9%	1235	—
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	6.2%	4-2-4	60.0%	53.7%	54.8%	53.6%	1372	↑ top
9		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	50.3%	45.5%	49.1%	1189	↓ low
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-5-0	16.7%	43.8%	46.0%	50.5%	994	↓ low
11		Fire Arcane Rai	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	39.6%	46.0%	45.7%	1297	—
12		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.6%	46.7%	47.1%	1291	—
13		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	65.9%	55.3%	55.8%	1347	—
14		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	65.2%	54.7%	57.1%	1349	—
15		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	30.2%	46.1%	42.7%	1368	↑ top
16		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	47.6%	44.0%	47.6%	1084	↓ low
17		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	46.6%	52.0%	49.1%	1458	↑ top
18		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	61.8%	50.9%	53.7%	1225	—
19		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.7%	52.5%	53.3%	1211	↓ low
20		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	47.8%	46.7%	50.0%	1130	↓ low
21		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	51.2%	49.0%	49.2%	1383	↑ top
22		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-5-0	16.7%	45.4%	42.5%	48.0%	921	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 3 decks · 9.4%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 6.2%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Arcane Rai 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.1%