← Mox Valley Games MRC Regional
SlimesTier 1
at Mox Valley Games MRC Regional
decks
4
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
14-8-2
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.6%
avg ELO +4.3 per match
expected value
52.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1291
· range 1194–1436
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1050
Q1 1199
Q3 1336
1525
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 7 | 1-5-1 | 21.4% | 31.8% | 32.8% | -8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.3% | +7.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.9% | +4.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% | +16.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Fire Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Fire Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.4% | +15.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Wind Beast | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
