← Weatherlight Grand Archive MRC Store Championship 2024
SlimesTier 1
at Weatherlight Grand Archive MRC Store Championship 2024
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 17.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.2% | -2.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +2.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.8% | -6.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.4 |
| Wind Overlord | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Covenant of Thorns | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Storm Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kraal, Stonescale Tyrant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Idle Thoughts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Avatar of Gaia | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Empowering Prayer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gather Slimes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Command the Hunt | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |