← Weatherlight Grand Archive MRC Store Championship 2024
Wind Umbra DianaTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive MRC Store Championship 2024
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.0%
avg ELO -11.2 per match
expected value
36.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
36.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1418
· median 1418
· range 1418–1418
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1224
Q3 1420
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 17.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 31.0% | -14.2 |
| Slimes | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
