← Card Merchant Christchurch Regional
Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at Card Merchant Christchurch Regional
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-4-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.2%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
55.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1229
· median 1229
· range 1226–1232
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1153
Q3 1364
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.7% | +15.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.2% | -10.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.0% | +2.2 |
| Wind Allies | 6.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
