Card Merchant Christchurch Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	10	21.7%	17-24-2	41.9%	42.9%	45.9%	46.5%	1223	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	7	15.2%	21-10-5	65.3%	58.7%	56.8%	54.1%	1337	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	4	8.7%	5-12-3	32.5%	38.5%	46.0%	47.2%	1239	—
4		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	3	6.5%	8-10-0	44.4%	49.7%	46.3%	48.8%	1309	↑ top
5		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	6.5%	6-8-1	43.3%	49.8%	45.2%	47.6%	1144	↓ low
6		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	6.5%	10-5-1	65.6%	63.6%	56.1%	56.5%	1256	—
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	4.3%	7-5-0	58.3%	57.1%	56.6%	56.1%	1207	—
8		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	4.3%	3-6-1	35.0%	40.1%	45.4%	45.4%	1264	—
9		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	2	4.3%	6-4-2	58.3%	53.2%	55.2%	53.6%	1229	—
10		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-1-2	66.7%	55.0%	59.8%	56.0%	1340	↑ top
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-2	50.0%	42.8%	45.6%	43.0%	1309	↑ top
12		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-0-2	83.3%	66.4%	56.8%	55.6%	1368	↑ top
13		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-3-1	41.7%	36.8%	44.5%	40.9%	1281	—
14		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-5-0	16.7%	37.6%	41.3%	45.5%	973	↓ low
15		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-3-1	41.7%	54.0%	50.8%	54.5%	1316	↑ top
16		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-0-2	83.3%	68.9%	59.1%	57.3%	1402	↑ top
17		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-2-0	0.0%	30.4%	40.0%	38.1%	1099	↓ low
18		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-2-1	58.3%	49.6%	52.3%	49.4%	1458	↑ top
19		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.0%	44.7%	48.2%	1075	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 10 decks · 21.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 7 decks · 15.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 8.7%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 3 decks · 6.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 6.5%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.2%