← Card Merchant Christchurch Regional
SlimesTier 2
at Card Merchant Christchurch Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.2% | 8 | 2-5-1 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 43.3% | -3.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.5% | 9 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 49.5% | -0.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Allies | 6.5% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 30.3% | -11.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 44.9% | -3.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.3% | -15.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.6 |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Hymn of Gaia's Grace, Ordinary Bear, Stonescale Band. Losers more often ran: Slime's Blessing, Reprogram, Twilight Slime.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.50 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| Reprogram | -0.50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gather Slimes | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Slime Totem | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Red Slime | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Engineered Slime | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Green Slime | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nia, Mistveiled Scout | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manic Zealot | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bauble of Mending | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Academy Attendant | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rousing Slam | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Slime King | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |