Card Merchant Auckland Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	11	20.8%	20-24-4	45.8%	43.3%	45.7%	44.7%	1319	—
2		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	6	11.3%	13-17-3	43.9%	50.1%	46.1%	49.5%	1270	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 1	4	7.5%	18-0-3	92.9%	76.3%	63.5%	59.2%	1392	↑ top
4		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	5.7%	5-10-2	35.3%	38.1%	49.2%	48.7%	1285	—
5		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	3	5.7%	9-7-2	55.6%	48.7%	53.7%	50.1%	1349	—
6		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	3	5.7%	10-9-0	52.6%	51.8%	55.4%	55.1%	1353	—
7		Slimes	Tier 1	3	5.7%	4-6-2	41.7%	53.6%	52.7%	57.6%	1296	—
8		Water Allies	Tier 1	3	5.7%	12-7-1	62.5%	49.1%	54.4%	49.3%	1444	↑ top
9		Wind Slimes	Tier 1	3	5.7%	7-7-4	50.0%	55.4%	52.3%	54.5%	1230	↓ low
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	3.8%	6-6-0	50.0%	56.5%	54.9%	58.2%	1355	—
11		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	3.8%	3-5-1	38.9%	45.2%	45.1%	47.9%	1271	—
12		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-2-1	58.3%	50.5%	50.6%	51.0%	1232	↓ low
13		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	34.6%	40.0%	40.0%	1304	—
14		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	41.8%	51.5%	47.0%	1369	↑ top
15		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.9%	4-2-0	66.7%	63.6%	50.6%	51.8%	1320	—
16		Fire Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-3-1	41.7%	50.4%	47.7%	50.3%	1474	↑ top
17		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-5-0	16.7%	36.0%	36.9%	41.0%	1109	↓ low
18		Water Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.5%	53.6%	54.4%	1288	—
19		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.5%	43.4%	46.5%	1396	↑ top
20		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.9%	40.3%	44.7%	1183	↓ low
21		Wind Neos	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-4-0	20.0%	33.9%	42.7%	43.1%	1073	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 11 decks · 20.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 6 decks · 11.3%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 3 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 5.7%
• Slimes 3 decks · 5.7%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 5.7%
• Wind Slimes 3 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 3.8%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 3.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Silvie 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Lorraine 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.9%