← Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
SlimesTier 1
at Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 65.5% | +14.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.9% | +10.4 |
| Wind Allies | 7.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.1% | -12.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.0% | +7.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.5% | -8.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gather Slimes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stonescale Band | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |