← Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
Wind SlimesTier 1
at Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
decks
3
(5.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
7-7-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.4%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
52.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1230
· median 1158
· range 1074–1458
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1073
Q1 1189
Q3 1396
1599
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 63.3% | +8.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Wind Allies | 7.5% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 43.6% | -4.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.7% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.7% | -2.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
