← Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
decks
3
(5.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
10-9-0
overall winrate
52.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
55.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1353
· median 1345
· range 1345–1368
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1073
Q1 1189
Q3 1396
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Allies | 7.5% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 31.9% | -11.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Silvie | 1.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
