← Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
Fire Umbra RangerTier 3
at Card Merchant Auckland Regionals
decks
1
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.0%
avg ELO -7.4 per match
expected value
36.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1109
· median 1109
· range 1109–1109
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1073
Q1 1189
Q3 1396
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 35.9% | -10.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Wind Allies | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
