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Fire Crux HybridTier 2
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Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 10.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.9% | +8.2 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.4% | +5.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +2.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 5.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 13 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Freezing Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Potion Infusion: Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |