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SlimesTier 2
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.0% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 10.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 49.3% | -0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 9 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 54.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.7% | -11.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.1% | -15.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 43.6% | -4.1 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 5.0% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +0.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.2% | +14.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.8% | -3.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.3% | -4.5 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.5% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 36.0% | -10.4 |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.8 |
Decklists · 10 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Tera Sight. Losers more often ran: Resolute Stand.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slime King | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Blessing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Artificer's Opus | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |