Fire ArcaneTier 2
at 台灣 中部地區 Regional
decks
2
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
10-3-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
70.4%
avg ELO +8.4 per match
expected value
55.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1444
· median 1444
· range 1418–1471
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1097
Q1 1252
Q3 1418
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 15.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.7% | +17.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 6.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.2 |
| Fire Lorraine | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.7% | +8.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.2% | +9.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Arcane decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
