← 台灣 中部地區 Regional

SlimesTier 2

at 台灣 中部地區 Regional

decks
12 (15.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
66 28-31-7
overall winrate
47.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1% avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
50.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1304 · median 1299 · range 1127–1429 (12 pilots with an ELO rating)
1097 Q1 1252 Q3 1418 1694
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Luxem Assassin 11.8% 9 6-2-1 72.2% 65.4% 61.0% +5.1
Water Ravishing Mill 7.9% 8 1-4-3 31.2% 37.5% 41.7% -4.0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.9% 9 5-4-0 55.6% 53.8% 54.1% +1.9
Fire Aggro 6.6% 7 2-5-0 28.6% 36.4% 32.2% -8.9
Water Astra Cleric 6.6% 5 2-2-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.4% +0.2
Fire Lorraine 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.3% -5.9
Wind Allies 5.3% 4 0-3-1 12.5% 31.2% 39.8% -6.5
Fire Crux Mage 3.9% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 66.4% +12.3
Fire Erupting 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.7% +12.3
Water Allies 3.9% 6 5-1-0 83.3% 70.0% 60.3% +5.5
Wind Umbra Ranger 3.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.4% +2.3
Fire Arcane 2.6% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 2.6% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.0% +1.5
Water Neos 2.6% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.4% -23.4
Water Crux Lorraine 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.7% -11.7
Wind Beast 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.2% -6.1
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.3% 0
Wind Silvie 1.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.3% -12.2
Wind Slice & Dice 1.3% 0
Wind Slimes 1.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.1% -16.2
Wind Tera Silvie 1.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.3% +5.4
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 5 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Vampiric Slime, Engineered Slime, Green Slime. Losers more often ran: Blissful Calling, Lustrous Slime, Resolute Stand.

Played more by winners
Vampiric Slime
Winning decks ran 2.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 1.
Engineered Slime
Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Green Slime
Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Gaia's Songbird
Winning decks ran 3.4 copies on average, losing decks 2.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Viridian Protective Trinket
Winning decks ran 0.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Slime Eruption
Winning decks ran 3.6 copies on average, losing decks 3.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Played more by losers
Blissful Calling
Losing decks ran 2.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Lustrous Slime
Losing decks ran 2.6 copies on average, winning decks 1.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Resolute Stand
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 1.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 2.8 copies on average, winning decks 1.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Reprogram
Losing decks ran 1.6 copies on average, winning decks 0.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 1.6 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 13 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Vampiric Slime +0.80 4 0 0
Blissful Calling -0.60 1 4 0
Lustrous Slime -0.60 0 3 2
Engineered Slime +0.60 3 0 0
Green Slime +0.60 3 0 0
Resolute Stand -0.40 1 3 1
Baby Blue Slime -0.40 1 3 1
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.40 2 0 2
Bestial Frenzy +0.40 2 0 3
Gaia's Songbird +0.40 3 1 1
Turbo Charge +0.40 2 0 3
Reprogram -0.40 1 3 0
Stonescale Band +0.40 2 0 3
Escape the Wreckage -0.40 0 2 3
Slime's Blessing -0.40 1 3 0
Tithe Proclamation -0.20 0 1 1
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.20 2 1 2
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -0.20 1 2 2
Tera Sight -0.20 0 1 2
Slime Eruption +0.20 2 1 2
Mechanical Hare -0.20 1 2 1
Verdant Slime +0.20 3 2 0
Twilight Slime +0.20 1 0 0
Beastbond Ears +0.20 2 1 2
Slime King +0.20 1 0 2
Nullifying Lantern -0.20 0 1 0
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer +0.20 1 0 0
Beastbond Boots +0.00 2 2 0
Ordinary Bear +0.00 1 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/7840/archetypes/Slimes