← 台灣 中部地區 Regional

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at 台灣 中部地區 Regional

decks
6 (7.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31 10-19-2
overall winrate
35.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.5% avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
47.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1282 · median 1269 · range 1157–1435 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1097 Q1 1252 Q3 1418 1694
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 15.8% 9 4-5-0 44.4% 46.2% 45.9% -1.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 11.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -0.7
Water Ravishing Mill 7.9% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 42.4% -7.3
Fire Aggro 6.6% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 53.0% +2.3
Water Astra Cleric 6.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.3
Fire Lorraine 5.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 35.9% -13.5
Wind Allies 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.3% -13.9
Fire Crux Mage 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.2
Fire Erupting 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.2
Water Allies 3.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.0% -19.1
Wind Umbra Ranger 3.9% 0
Fire Arcane 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.4% -20.2
Fire Crux Hybrid 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.4% -21.7
Water Neos 2.6% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 37.5% -9.3
Fire Astra Cleric 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.7% -16.4
Water Crux Lorraine 1.3% 0
Wind Beast 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.0% -14.4
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.3% 0
Wind Silvie 1.3% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 1.3% 0
Wind Slimes 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.0% -8.0
Wind Tera Silvie 1.3% 0
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Sharpen Blade -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Accepted Contract -1.00 0 1 0
Gearstride Gloves -1.00 0 1 0
Shadow Resonance -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester -1.00 0 1 0
Arrow Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Blackmarket Broker -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/7840/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike