← Yeti Gaming July 28th Online Regionals
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming July 28th Online Regionals.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 37 | 17.4% | 192 | 61.2% | 53.3% | 59.0% | 53.1% | 1355 | — |
| 2 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.5% | 8 | 81.2% | 52.9% | 57.8% | 51.3% | 1536 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 9 | 4.2% | 62 | 56.5% | 52.9% | 52.4% | 51.4% | 1303 | — |
| 4 | Fire Slimes | 12 | 5.6% | 61 | 53.3% | 50.9% | 52.3% | 50.3% | 1321 | — |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 25 | 11.7% | 142 | 55.3% | 52.0% | 52.2% | 50.9% | 1336 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 0.5% | 8 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 50.8% | 51.7% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Arcane | 5 | 2.3% | 28 | 53.6% | 51.5% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1310 | — |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 0.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.7% | 49.9% | 51.1% | 1090 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 14 | 6.6% | 77 | 53.9% | 49.6% | 49.9% | 48.9% | 1395 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 30 | 14.1% | 164 | 51.8% | 50.9% | 49.9% | 50.2% | 1319 | — |
| 11 | Wind Umbra Diana | 2 | 0.9% | 13 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 49.8% | 50.4% | 1278 | — |
| 12 | Fire Crux Mage | 6 | 2.8% | 29 | 50.0% | 51.0% | 49.7% | 50.9% | 1328 | — |
| 13 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 4 | 1.9% | 24 | 45.8% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 50.1% | 1271 | — |
| 14 | Fire Crux Merlin | 2 | 0.9% | 13 | 50.0% | 52.6% | 48.8% | 51.1% | 1311 | — |
| 15 | Water Crux Merlin | 1 | 0.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.8% | 48.8% | 49.5% | 1156 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 0.5% | 8 | 50.0% | 48.6% | 47.6% | 48.4% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Water Umbra Tristan | 1 | 0.5% | 8 | 43.8% | 46.7% | 47.1% | 48.5% | 1569 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 0.9% | 11 | 45.5% | 47.6% | 46.9% | 48.4% | 1356 | — |
| 19 | Wind Diana | 2 | 0.9% | 11 | 45.5% | 53.3% | 46.6% | 50.9% | 1224 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 0.5% | 8 | 43.8% | 47.2% | 46.5% | 48.2% | 1311 | — |
| 21 | Wind Umbra Tristan | 1 | 0.5% | 8 | 37.5% | 47.7% | 45.7% | 48.4% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Water Astra Cleric | 2 | 0.9% | 11 | 31.8% | 47.5% | 44.8% | 48.8% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Water Overlord | 1 | 0.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.9% | 43.9% | 47.9% | 1216 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 0.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.9% | 43.1% | 48.1% | 1141 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Water Beast | 1 | 0.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.7% | 42.9% | 47.4% | 1470 | ↑ top |
| 26 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 0.9% | 7 | 35.7% | 45.9% | 42.8% | 46.9% | 1275 | — |
| 27 | Water Ravishing Mill | 16 | 7.5% | 87 | 42.5% | 48.4% | 42.7% | 47.8% | 1285 | — |
| 28 | Fire Neos Tonoris | 1 | 0.5% | 9 | 33.3% | 47.6% | 42.4% | 47.7% | 1235 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Fire Astra Cleric | 3 | 1.4% | 12 | 29.2% | 45.3% | 40.2% | 47.6% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 38.4% | 40.0% | 43.2% | 1345 | — |
| 31 | Crux Mage | 1 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 40.9% | 40.0% | 44.2% | 1560 | ↑ top |
| 32 | Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 40.9% | 40.0% | 44.2% | 1560 | ↑ top |
| 33 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 42.2% | 40.0% | 45.6% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 34 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 0.5% | 8 | 12.5% | 39.9% | 40.0% | 46.5% | 1328 | — |
| 35 | Wind Vanitas | 2 | 0.9% | 7 | 14.3% | 44.8% | 39.9% | 48.4% | 1053 | ↓ low |
| 36 | Water Neos | 3 | 1.4% | 18 | 25.0% | 39.8% | 39.5% | 44.1% | 1361 | — |
| 37 | Fire Aggro | 15 | 7.0% | 88 | 46.0% | 48.2% | 39.5% | 45.9% | 1261 | — |
| 38 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 0.5% | 7 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 38.6% | 47.0% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 39 | Fire Erupting | 2 | 0.9% | 8 | 25.0% | 44.6% | 36.4% | 45.7% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 40 | Fire Zander | 1 | 0.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 42.6% | 36.3% | 45.3% | 1055 | ↓ low |
| 41 | Fire Slice & Dice | 1 | 0.5% | 5 | 0.0% | 39.7% | 35.7% | 45.4% | 1198 | ↓ low |