← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.1% | 16 | 5-8-3 | 40.6% | 42.5% | 44.8% | -2.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.2% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 53.4% | +1.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.8% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 45.8% | -2.1 |
| Wind Allies | 8.8% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.6% | -2.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.4% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 47.5% | -1.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.8% | +2.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.2% | -3.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tera Tamer | 0.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Water Beast | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 12 from this event
The 12 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Flame Sweep, Under Fire, Potion Infusion: Seal. Losers more often ran: Cremation Ritual, Fast Cure, Scatter Essence.
Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flame Sweep | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Focused Flames | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Library Witch | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Retold Fortune | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Crux Sight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Potion Infusion: Seal | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spontaneous Combustion | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Repelling Palmblast | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chilling Touch | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Savage Slash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |