← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2

Wind AlliesTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2

decks
14 (8.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
69 33-30-6
overall winrate
52.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.1% avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
48.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302 · median 1319 · range 1082–1517 (14 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1236 Q3 1423 1736
21% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 18.1% 10 2-6-2 30.0% 35.7% 43.8% -2.8
Wind Shadowstrike 16.2% 17 9-7-1 55.9% 54.8% 50.8% +0.3
Water Ravishing Mill 8.8% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 46.6% -2.2
Fire Crux Mage 7.5% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 50.5% +0.3
Fire Crux Hybrid 5.0% 4 4-0-0 100.0% 75.0% 60.7% +6.8
Fire Aggro 4.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 57.3% +7.0
Fire Slimes 3.8% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 51.8% +1.8
Water Allies 3.8% 6 1-4-1 25.0% 35.0% 44.9% -2.7
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.7
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.5% +7.2
Fire Crux Lorraine 1.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.3% +5.2
Fire Erupting 1.2% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 48.5% -1.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.2% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.4% -8.9
Water Crux Lorraine 1.2% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 56.2% +6.0
Water Neos 1.2% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 1.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.0% -11.2
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.0% -1.9
Fire Arcane 0.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.3% -5.8
Fire Crux Merlin 0.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.2% -0.8
Fire Neos 0.6% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 58.2% +7.9
Fire Zander 0.6% 0
Norm Tera Silvie 0.6% 0
Tera Tamer 0.6% 0
Water Beast 0.6% 0
Water Crux Mage 0.6% 0
Water Dawn of Ashes 0.6% 0
Water Lorraine 0.6% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 0.6% 0
Water Slimes 0.6% 0
Water Tera Silvie 0.6% 0
Wind Crux Mage 0.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.1% +5.0
Wind Diana 0.6% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 0.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.9% +7.8
Decklists · 14 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 47 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 47 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Enhance Potency -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Windwalker Boots +1.00 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Alkahest -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Blessed Clergy -1.00 0 1 0
Lurking Assailant +1.00 1 0 0
Distilled Atrophy -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Draught of Stamina -1.00 0 1 0
Attune with the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Eye of Argus -1.00 0 1 0
Gearstride Gloves +1.00 1 0 0
Imperial Alchemist -1.00 0 1 0
Slice and Dice +1.00 1 0 0
Potion Infusion: Growth -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Spy +1.00 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 1 0
Assassin's Ripper +1.00 1 0 0
Arisanna, Herbalist Prodigy -1.00 0 1 0
Orb of Choking Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Wildgrowth Elixir -1.00 0 1 0
Surveil the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Spellshield: Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Fertile Grounds -1.00 0 1 0
Ingredient Pouch -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Arisanna, Master Alchemist -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Corhazi Outlook +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Poisoned Dagger +1.00 1 0 0
Zander, Prepared Scout +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0
Skirting Step +1.00 1 0 0
Blackmarket Broker +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/8855/archetypes/Wind Allies