← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2
decks
26
(16.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
114
60-43-11
overall winrate
57.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
53.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1312
· median 1326
· range 1091–1593
(26 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1236
Q3 1423
1736
19% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
31% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.1% | 26 | 16-9-1 | 63.5% | 61.7% | 54.6% | +1.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.8% | 13 | 3-8-2 | 30.8% | 35.3% | 45.6% | -1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 8.8% | 17 | 7-9-1 | 44.1% | 45.2% | 49.2% | -0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 7 | 2-3-2 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 46.6% | -1.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.0% | 9 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.4% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 52.6% | +1.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.8% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 64.7% | +9.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.1% | +7.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 55.6% | +3.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.1% | +5.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 52.6% | +1.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tera Tamer | 0.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Water Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.4% | +4.2 |
| Water Lorraine | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.8% | +8.4 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
Decklists · 26 from this event
The 26 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 8 mirror matches (4 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Scout the Land, Beseech the Winds, Sharpen Blade. Losers more often ran: Sable Remnant, Tariff Ring, Zephyr.
Scout the Land
Winning decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
losing decks 0.4.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Beseech the Winds
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 5.
Sharpen Blade
Winning decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Veiling Breeze
Winning decks ran 3.6
copies on average,
losing decks 3.4.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Shadow Resonance
Winning decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Blackmarket Broker
Winning decks ran 3.1
copies on average,
losing decks 2.6.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Sable Remnant
Losing decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.0.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 5.
Tariff Ring
Losing decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
winning decks 0.4.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 5.
Zephyr
Losing decks ran 2.9
copies on average,
winning decks 3.2.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 3.
Innervate Agility
Losing decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
winning decks 0.9.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 3.
Gearstride Gloves
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 3.
Reprogram
Losing decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
winning decks 1.6.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 1.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scout the Land | +0.38 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.38 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sharpen Blade | +0.25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.25 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Shadow Resonance | +0.25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.25 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.25 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.25 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.25 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | -0.25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Windwalker Boots | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | -0.12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Shadeblood Coating | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Mantle | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Sirocco Operative | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dusksoul Stone | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Spy | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 |