Wind Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Haven Games Regionals
decks
2
(4.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-6-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
42.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1129
· median 1129
· range 1125–1133
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1099
Q1 1200
Q3 1358
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Water Neos | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Water Vanitas | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tristan | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
