Haven Games Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	10	20.4%	32-10-2	75.0%	66.4%	61.9%	59.2%	1386	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	7	14.3%	16-16-5	50.0%	46.9%	48.2%	47.4%	1272	—
3		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	4	8.2%	4-14-1	23.7%	26.8%	39.1%	39.6%	1327	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	6.1%	11-7-0	61.1%	58.4%	52.7%	53.1%	1370	↑ top
5		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	6.1%	3-10-0	23.1%	31.9%	39.8%	41.1%	1209	↓ low
6		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	3	6.1%	9-7-2	55.6%	58.2%	49.6%	51.8%	1274	—
7		Water Neos	Tier 2	2	4.1%	8-4-0	66.7%	61.5%	49.8%	51.0%	1318	—
8		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	2	4.1%	6-4-2	58.3%	56.7%	51.3%	52.2%	1281	—
9		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	4.1%	3-7-2	33.3%	44.1%	42.5%	45.0%	1199	↓ low
10		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	2	4.1%	4-8-0	33.3%	31.9%	45.5%	42.4%	1318	—
11		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	4.1%	3-6-0	33.3%	47.6%	42.8%	47.8%	1129	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-1-2	66.7%	64.2%	52.3%	55.4%	1246	—
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-1-3	58.3%	58.7%	51.4%	52.4%	1352	↑ top
14		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.0%	0-2-0	0.0%	34.0%	40.0%	41.6%	1261	—
15		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	45.7%	50.6%	48.2%	1357	↑ top
16		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.2%	42.0%	46.6%	1270	—
17		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	57.8%	48.2%	52.9%	1256	—
18		Water Diana	Tier 2	1	2.0%	1-4-0	20.0%	35.0%	48.2%	48.5%	1159	↓ low
19		Water Vanitas	Tier 2	1	2.0%	0-3-2	20.0%	41.7%	42.2%	45.4%	1170	↓ low
20		Wind Tristan	Tier 2	1	2.0%	2-3-1	41.7%	42.2%	51.7%	50.5%	1259	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 10 decks · 20.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 7 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 4 decks · 8.2%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 6.1%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 6.1%
• Fire Erupting 3 decks · 6.1%
• Water Neos 2 decks · 4.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 4.1%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 4.1%
• Wind Lorraine 2 decks · 4.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 4.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.0%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Diana 1 deck · 2.0%
• Water Vanitas 1 deck · 2.0%
• Wind Tristan 1 deck · 2.0%