← 11/23 新莊貓 Mortal Ambition Regionals 北部場
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 11/23 新莊貓 Mortal Ambition Regionals 北部場.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 54.5% | 59.8% | 54.4% | 1459 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Razorgale | 6 | 7.5% | 36 | 68.1% | 59.0% | 56.5% | 52.3% | 1361 | — |
| 3 | Slimes | 14 | 17.5% | 81 | 57.4% | 53.6% | 55.5% | 52.9% | 1365 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 57.0% | 55.3% | 53.0% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 3.8% | 21 | 54.8% | 52.7% | 54.5% | 54.7% | 1314 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 5 | 6.2% | 24 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 51.3% | 53.0% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 9 | 11.2% | 44 | 52.3% | 52.0% | 51.1% | 51.0% | 1312 | — |
| 8 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 42.9% | 53.9% | 51.1% | 54.2% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Penguin Mill | 3 | 3.8% | 18 | 41.7% | 49.0% | 51.1% | 52.9% | 1274 | — |
| 10 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 2.5% | 11 | 54.5% | 53.1% | 50.7% | 51.0% | 1284 | — |
| 11 | Wind Allies | 4 | 5.0% | 24 | 54.2% | 52.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1342 | — |
| 12 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 3.8% | 17 | 52.9% | 51.6% | 49.6% | 49.9% | 1276 | — |
| 13 | Wind Shadowstrike | 10 | 12.5% | 51 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 47.4% | 49.1% | 1290 | — |
| 14 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.0% | 47.3% | 48.6% | 1272 | — |
| 15 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 50.0% | 55.3% | 47.3% | 49.2% | 1229 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 35.7% | 50.0% | 46.4% | 49.5% | 1062 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 2.5% | 14 | 50.0% | 45.9% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 1335 | — |
| 18 | Water Neos | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 50.0% | 47.9% | 46.0% | 45.8% | 1276 | — |
| 19 | Wind Kongming | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 21.4% | 35.3% | 44.2% | 45.3% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Tera Mage | 2 | 2.5% | 8 | 25.0% | 43.3% | 43.9% | 47.1% | 1055 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 1.2% | 2 | 0.0% | 32.1% | 40.0% | 38.8% | 1471 | ↑ top |
| 22 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.0% | 45.9% | 40.0% | 45.9% | 1075 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.2% | 7 | 28.6% | 36.8% | 39.4% | 40.3% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Fire Exia | 6 | 7.5% | 23 | 10.9% | 24.7% | 32.2% | 36.6% | 1241 | ↓ low |