← AMB Texas Regional

Fire ArcaneTier 2

at AMB Texas Regional

decks
2 (4.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.2% avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
47.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345 · median 1345 · range 1083–1607 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046 Q1 1191 Q3 1381 1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 12.2% 0
Water Penguin Mill 12.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 39.3% -10.3
Wind Razorgale 8.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.9% -16.1
Fire Aggro 6.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.4% -21.7
Fire Exia 6.1% 0
Fire Slimes 6.1% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 6.1% 0
Wind Allies 6.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.0% +8.0
Wind Shadowstrike 6.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.7% +13.9
Fire Crux Mage 4.1% 0
Water Allies 4.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.5
Water Crux Lorraine 4.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +12.9
Fire Astra Cleric 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.0% +7.9
Fire Crux Merlin 2.0% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 2.0% 0
Fire Tera Mage 2.0% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 2.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.7% -8.4
Water Slimes 2.0% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 2.0% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Arcane decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/14716/archetypes/Fire Arcane