SlimesTier 2
at AMB Texas Regional
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.2% | 6 | 1-3-2 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -5.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 35.7% | -10.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Exia | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.9% | +5.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.1% | -17.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.5 |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.6% | -10.0 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Gaia's Songbird, Escape the Wreckage, Grand Crusader's Ring. Losers more often ran: Slime's Blessing, Hymn of Gaia's Grace.
Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaia's Songbird | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Baby Red Slime | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Wind | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Displace | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Clockwork Musicbox | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Arima, Gaia's Wings | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |