Wind AlliesTier 1
at AMB Texas Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.9% | +17.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.2% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 55.5% | +3.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.0% | -6.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 45 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reconnaissance Scout | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seeker's Rifle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bertha, Spry Howitzer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Yunzhou Cavalry | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lena, Dorumegia's Herald | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Emerald Pistol | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Gatekeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dodge Roll | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Automated Gardener | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |