← Home-run Mortal Ambition Season Regional - Hong Kong
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Home-run Mortal Ambition Season Regional - Hong Kong
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.9% | 8 | 7-1-0 | 87.5% | 75.0% | 71.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 9 | 4-3-2 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 50.9% | +0.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.9% | 6 | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 32.4% | -9.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.0% | +4.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.9% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 44.4% | -3.0 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 33.5% | -12.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 50.8% | +0.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.1% | +12.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.1% | +16.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.9% | -17.4 |
| Water Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.6 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Resolute Stand, Escape the Wreckage, Ordinary Bear. Losers more often ran: Reduce to Ash, Forest Cake, Viridian Protective Trinket.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thunderclap | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shout at Your Pets | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamebreak Chorus | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Horse | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lavasoul Tiger | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |