← Home-run Mortal Ambition Season Regional - Hong Kong
Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Home-run Mortal Ambition Season Regional - Hong Kong
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +2.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 70.2% | +11.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.9% | 8 | 2-5-1 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 41.3% | -4.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.9% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 55.6% | +3.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.9% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 50.9% | +0.5 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.9% | +5.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.2% | +8.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dawn's Reversal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Astarte, Celestial Dawn | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lunar Conduit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three Visits | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |