← Home-run Mortal Ambition Season Regional - Hong Kong
Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at Home-run Mortal Ambition Season Regional - Hong Kong
decks
3
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
7-6-3
overall winrate
53.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1232
· range 1170–1519
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1174
Q3 1342
1730
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.9% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.3% | +12.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | -12.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.8% | -8.8 |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.4% | +3.2 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
