← CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Arisanna | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 56.6% | 55.9% | 53.6% | 1474 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 4 | 4.4% | 27 | 61.1% | 55.1% | 54.7% | 53.4% | 1438 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Crux Mage | 2 | 2.2% | 10 | 65.0% | 47.8% | 54.6% | 49.2% | 1459 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 58.3% | 53.6% | 50.8% | 1465 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 57.1% | 54.3% | 53.4% | 52.5% | 1055 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Neos | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 53.1% | 54.2% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 57.1% | 58.6% | 52.8% | 53.9% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Luxem Zander | 3 | 3.3% | 19 | 60.5% | 47.0% | 52.7% | 47.3% | 1506 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Penguin Mill | 9 | 10.0% | 45 | 53.3% | 51.5% | 51.9% | 51.3% | 1370 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Silvie | 3 | 3.3% | 17 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 51.6% | 51.2% | 1351 | — |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 5 | 5.6% | 28 | 51.8% | 46.2% | 51.5% | 48.4% | 1310 | — |
| 12 | Water Ravishing Mill | 8 | 8.9% | 39 | 55.1% | 45.4% | 51.4% | 47.3% | 1339 | — |
| 13 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 4.4% | 22 | 52.3% | 52.9% | 50.9% | 51.3% | 1350 | — |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 6 | 6.7% | 39 | 52.6% | 55.7% | 50.9% | 51.7% | 1312 | — |
| 15 | Slimes | 11 | 12.2% | 51 | 50.0% | 57.3% | 49.2% | 52.2% | 1228 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 2.2% | 12 | 45.8% | 49.7% | 49.1% | 50.3% | 1186 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 35.7% | 50.4% | 48.6% | 51.6% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Astra Cleric | 6 | 6.7% | 30 | 50.0% | 56.7% | 47.8% | 51.2% | 1244 | — |
| 19 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 50.0% | 44.7% | 47.8% | 46.5% | 1301 | — |
| 20 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 42.9% | 43.8% | 47.3% | 46.8% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 21 | Water Exia | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 57.1% | 46.8% | 47.1% | 45.9% | 1250 | — |
| 22 | Wind Allies | 5 | 5.6% | 20 | 47.5% | 45.2% | 47.0% | 45.7% | 1229 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 2.2% | 10 | 40.0% | 44.3% | 46.9% | 48.0% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 1.1% | 7 | 50.0% | 61.8% | 44.7% | 48.6% | 1445 | ↑ top |
| 25 | Fire Exia | 3 | 3.3% | 12 | 20.8% | 32.7% | 43.3% | 44.2% | 1110 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Water Tera Mage | 3 | 3.3% | 8 | 12.5% | 32.1% | 42.6% | 44.5% | 1121 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Fire Neos | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 20.0% | 35.9% | 40.2% | 42.1% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 1.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 41.2% | 40.0% | 46.5% | 1060 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.0% | 43.8% | 40.0% | 43.8% | 1174 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Wind Exia | 1 | 1.1% | 5 | 0.0% | 24.5% | 38.3% | 38.7% | 1241 | — |