Mox Valley Games AMB Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	5	10.6%	12-12-1	50.0%	51.5%	49.4%	50.3%	1248	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	5	10.6%	14-13-3	51.7%	51.9%	50.7%	52.0%	1282	—
3		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	5	10.6%	14-4-6	70.8%	62.8%	55.9%	54.6%	1377	↑ top
4		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	5	10.6%	11-7-3	59.5%	43.2%	52.0%	45.9%	1363	↑ top
5		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	4	8.5%	10-10-2	50.0%	49.0%	49.1%	48.9%	1379	↑ top
6		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	4	8.5%	11-10-2	52.2%	55.6%	49.8%	51.7%	1297	—
7		Fire Exia	Tier 2	3	6.4%	6-11-1	36.1%	45.4%	45.2%	48.1%	1098	↓ low
8		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	2	4.3%	5-4-3	54.2%	54.7%	48.3%	49.5%	1250	—
9		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	4.3%	5-4-3	54.2%	41.9%	50.9%	47.3%	1302	—
10		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.3%	2-9-0	18.2%	33.3%	40.7%	43.4%	1183	↓ low
11		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	4.3%	5-6-0	45.5%	48.1%	47.8%	48.6%	1234	—
12		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	60.0%	49.3%	49.4%	1471	↑ top
13		Fire Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	46.9%	43.1%	48.0%	1267	—
14		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	56.6%	52.7%	56.0%	1203	↓ low
15		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	51.3%	46.1%	50.9%	1310	—
16		Water Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	30.9%	44.8%	43.8%	1357	↑ top
17		Water Umbra Tristan	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	45.5%	50.4%	48.2%	1302	—
18		Wind Dawn of Ashes	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-4-1	25.0%	41.0%	46.5%	48.6%	1091	↓ low
19		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.2%	47.8%	49.7%	1134	↓ low
20		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	67.5%	54.1%	55.7%	1308	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 10.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 5 decks · 10.6%
• Water Penguin Mill 5 decks · 10.6%
• Water Ravishing Mill 5 decks · 10.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 8.5%
• Wind Razorgale 4 decks · 8.5%
• Fire Exia 3 decks · 6.4%
• Fire Crux Merlin 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Arisanna 1 deck · 2.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Arisanna 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Umbra Tristan 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 2.1%